Emerging Markets Weekly by Lloyds TSB

We would like to introduce you to our new Lloyds TSB Corporate Markets publication, the Emerging Markets Weekly, which provides both a short recap and a preview of key data releases for the week ahead. We would like to introduce you to our new Lloyds TSB Corporate Markets publication, the Emerging Markets Weekly, which provides both a short recap and a preview of key data releases for the week ahead.

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Data on Thursday to show China’s economic growth remains firm.

After increasing 13.3% year-on-year in September – its slowest pace in eight months, we forecast industrial production growth picked up in October to 14%. Nonetheless, this still represents a significant moderation from its 2010 peak of 18.1% in March. Urban fixed investment is forecast to be slightly stronger in October at 24.6% year-to-date, compared to 24.5% in September. Within the detail, we expect an acceleration in government infrastructure investment to be partly offset by an easing in residential investment as restrictions on mortgages and deposits start taking greater effect. The moderation in residential investment should precipitate a further softening in property price growth, to 8.9% in October, from 9.1% in September.

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