Forex_FNL2
Brokers
Earnings Reports to Dictate U.S. Dollar’s Direction
Rate This Article:
0

Positive earnings reports are expected to continue to put pressure on the U.S. Dollar as traders continue to leave the safe haven currency for higher risk assets.

The EUR USD is trading higher this morning despite efforts from the European Central Bank and other Euro Zone members to weaken it with comments addressing their concerns about the possible negative effects on Euro Zone exports. European Central Bank President Trichet said “excessive volatility” in currency rates is “bad for economic development.” His comment was seconded by Jean-Claude Juncker who said “It’s a problem that worries us”.

Concerns are being expressed by the ECB and other members of the Euro Zone because the recent appreciation of the Euro is hurting exports with the U.S. and China. In addition, the end result is a stronger Euro will threaten the Euro Zone’s recovery. So far traders seem to be ignoring these comments as the Euro rises to the 1.50 level.

Traders are also driving the GBP USD higher this morning because of demand for risky assets. Yesterday the Pound traded lower for much of the day because of comments over the weekend calling for a possible extension of the Bank of England’s asset buyback program. Traders are acting today as if this was just a rumor. Later in the week, the BoE will release the minutes from its last meeting. This report will allow traders to see how serious the BoE is about extending this program.

Lower yields in the U.S. continue to make the Japanese Yen a more attractive investment. In addition, the Yen received a boost overnight when Japanese Prime Minister Fujii reiterated his reluctance to intervene against a rising Yen. He basically stated that the Yen is rising because of the Fed’s “easy” money policy, and he saw no reason to curtail the rise in the Yen unless the rally was dictated by excessive volatility.

The Dollar is up against the Canadian Dollar. The Bank of Canada is expected to leave interest rates unchanged at today’s meeting, but traders are speculating it may issue a statement regarding its concerns about the rapid rise in the Canadian Dollar and the negative effect this rally could have on the Canadian economy.

The AUD USD and NZD USD are under pressure today despite a firm stock market. Overnight the Reserve Bank of Australia released the minutes from its last meeting. In this report it justified its recent interest rate hike of 25 basis points, but gave no reason to expect a 50 basis point cut in November. The market no feels that Aussie and Kiwi misread the RBA and that prices are overbought. This is leading to selling pressure this morning.

Legal Disclaimer and Risk Disclosure:

Trading foreign exchange on the margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of
leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider
your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some
or all of your initial investment and therefore should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of
all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
 

Post A Comment
* Indicates required information
Comment Title:
* Comments:
Nickname:
* Validation:
Comments 0 comments for this article
Newsletters
Register to receive the latest expert analysis, news and education:
Email:
Latest Blogs
Colin McGinley
Over the Christmas holidays I read Enhancing Trader Performance by Brett Steenbarger. This is definitely one of the better trading books I’ve read over the years....
[Read More]
M J Panzner
Michael J. Panzner
In yesterday's post-cum-psychological profile, "Economic Rorschach Test," I wanted to know the first thing that popped into your head after hearing...
[Read More]
M J Panzner
Michael J. Panzner
Some analysts believe that what the economy is going through right now is not just a recession; rather, it is what might be called a "recalibration,"...
[Read More]
M J Panzner
Michael J. Panzner
OK, time for a kind of reverse Rorschach test: When you read the following MarketWatch report, what's the first thing that pops into your head?
[Read More]
M J Panzner
Michael J. Panzner
PBS Newshour has posted a brief but fascinating interview with David Stockman, Director of the Office of Management & Budget during the Reagan era. Despite...
[Read More]